follow-up studies

Importance Women with a BRCA1 or BRCA2 variant face a high lifetime risk of ovarian cancer and are often advised to undergo preventive surgery (bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy [BSO]) before cancer develops. The recommended age of BSO is 35 years for BRCA1 carriers and is 45 years for BRCA2 carriers, but some women choose to delay surgery until the age of menopause; there is no standard upper age at which surgery is no longer advised.

Objective To estimate the residual lifetime risk of ovarian cancer among BRCA carriers by current age and projected age at BSO.

Design, Setting, and Participants This was a prospective cohort study in an international cohort of BRCA carriers monitored for incident ovarian cancer. A life table analysis used age-specific ovarian cancer incidence rates and competing mortality rates to estimate lifetime risk of ovarian cancer among women with a BRCA1 or BRCA2 pathogenic variant with both ovaries intact and no prior ovarian cancer at baseline. Patients were recruited between 1995 and 2024 across 24 international centers, and the mean (SD) follow-up was 4.4 (3.9) years.

Exposure Timing of BSO, defined as immediate BSO, delayed BSO, or no BSO.

Main Outcome and Measures Residual lifetime risk of ovarian cancer.

Results The cohort consisted of 4286 BRCA1 and 1427 BRCA2 carriers between the ages of 30 and 74 years at baseline (mean [SD] age, 42.0 [10.8] years). There were 249 incident ovarian cancers in the follow-up period. The lifetime risk of ovarian cancer was 55.0% (95% CI, 48.8-61.9) for a BRCA1 carrier and 24.1% (95% CI, 15.1-36.6) for a BRCA2 carrier. A 30-year-old BRCA1 carrier with BSO delayed to age 50 years had a projected residual ovarian cancer risk of 23.9% (95% CI, 20.7-27.4). At age 75 years, the residual risk of ovarian cancer was estimated to be 8.4% (95% CI, 1.7-22.7) for a BRCA1 carrier and 3.7% (95% CI, 0.1-22.7) for a BRCA2 carrier.

Conclusions and Relevance The residual risk of ovarian cancer for older women in good health is sufficiently high to consider preventive surgery. BRCA1 carriers who defer BSO until age 50 years may face a substantial risk of developing ovarian cancer.

ABSTRACT Background: Evidence supporting the use of statins for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in individuals aged≥ 80 years remains limited. This study aimed to evaluate the long-term clinical benefits and safety of statins for primary prevention in patients aged 80 years and older. Methods: We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study using electronic medical records and pharmacy dispensing data from Clalit Health Services in Israel, covering the period from January 2015 to December 2020. Patients aged ≥ 80 years without prior CVD who were persistent statin users were compared with similar patients not receiving statins. Exclusions included prior CVD, dialysis, or death within 1 year of follow-up. Outcomes included all-cause mortality, new coronary events, myopathy, dementia, and diabetes mellitus. Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for potential confounders, were used to assess the association between statin use and clinical outcomes. Results: Among 15,745 patients (mean age 84.5 years; 66% female), 8413 were statin users. Over a 4-year mean follow-up, statin use was associated with a 31% reduction in mortality (HR 0.69; 95% CI: 0.34–0.74; p < 0.001) and a 20% reduction in new coronary events (HR 0.80; 95% CI: 0.68–0.94; p = 0.008). No significant differences were observed in the incidence of myopathy, diabetes, or dementia. Benefits were not observed in patients who discontinued statins before age 80. Conclusions: In patients aged ≥ 80 years, statin therapy for primary prevention was associated with reduced all-cause mortality and coronary morbidity, without increased risk of adverse events. Early discontinuation diminished these benefits.

Importance: Data from randomized clinical trials on a long-term anticoagulation strategy for patients after catheter-based ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF) are lacking.

Objective: To evaluate whether discontinuing oral anticoagulant therapy provides superior clinical outcomes compared with continuing oral anticoagulant therapy in patients without documented atrial arrhythmia recurrence after catheter ablation for AF.

Design, setting, and participants: A randomized clinical trial including 840 adult patients (aged 19-80 years) who were enrolled and randomized from July 28, 2020, to March 9, 2023, at 18 hospitals in South Korea. Enrolled patients had at least 1 non-sex-related stroke risk factor (determined using the CHA2DS2-VASc score [range, 0-9]) and no documented recurrence of atrial arrhythmia for at least 1 year after catheter ablation for AF. The CHA2DS2-VASc score is used as an assessment of stroke risk among patients with AF (calculated using point values for congestive heart failure, hypertension, ≥75 years of age, diabetes, stroke or transient ischemic attack, vascular disease, between 65 and 74 years of age, and sex category). The date of final follow-up was June 4, 2025.

Interventions: The patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to discontinue oral anticoagulant therapy (n = 417) or continue oral anticoagulant therapy (with direct oral anticoagulants; n = 423).

Main outcomes and measures: The primary outcome was the first occurrence of a composite of stroke, systemic embolism, and major bleeding at 2 years. Individual components of the primary outcome (such as ischemic stroke and major bleeding) were assessed as secondary outcomes.

Results: Of the 840 adults randomized, the mean age was 64 (SD, 8) years, 24.9% were women, the mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was 2.1 (SD, 1.0), and 67.6% had paroxysmal AF. At 2 years, the primary outcome occurred in 1 patient (0.3%) in the discontinue oral anticoagulant therapy group vs 8 patients (2.2%) in the continue oral anticoagulant therapy group (absolute difference, -1.9 percentage points [95% CI, -3.5 to -0.3]; P = .02). The 2-year cumulative incidence of ischemic stroke was 0.3% in the discontinue oral anticoagulant therapy group vs 0.8% in the continue oral anticoagulant therapy group (absolute difference, -0.5 percentage points [95% CI, -1.6 to 0.6]). Major bleeding occurred in 0 patients in the discontinue oral anticoagulant therapy group vs 5 patients (1.4%) in the continue oral anticoagulant therapy group (absolute difference, -1.4 percentage points [95% CI, -2.6 to -0.2]).

Conclusions and relevance: Among patients without documented atrial arrhythmia recurrence after catheter ablation for AF, discontinuing oral anticoagulant therapy resulted in a lower risk for the composite outcome of stroke, systemic embolism, and major bleeding vs continuing direct oral anticoagulant therapy.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04432220.

Importance: Approximately 55 million people in the US and approximately 1.1 billion people worldwide are postmenopausal women. To inform clinical practice about the health effects of menopausal hormone therapy, calcium plus vitamin D supplementation, and a low-fat dietary pattern, the Women's Health Initiative (WHI) enrolled 161 808 postmenopausal US women (N = 68 132 in the clinical trials) aged 50 to 79 years at baseline from 1993 to 1998, and followed them up for up to 20 years.

Observations: The WHI clinical trial results do not support hormone therapy with oral conjugated equine estrogens plus medroxyprogesterone acetate for postmenopausal women or conjugated equine estrogens alone for those with prior hysterectomy to prevent cardiovascular disease, dementia, or other chronic diseases. However, hormone therapy is effective for treating moderate to severe vasomotor and other menopausal symptoms. These benefits of hormone therapy in early menopause, combined with lower rates of adverse effects of hormone therapy in early compared with later menopause, support initiation of hormone therapy before age 60 years for women without contraindications to hormone therapy who have bothersome menopausal symptoms. The WHI results do not support routinely recommending calcium plus vitamin D supplementation for fracture prevention in all postmenopausal women. However, calcium and vitamin D are appropriate for women who do not meet national guidelines for recommended intakes of these nutrients through diet. A low-fat dietary pattern with increased fruit, vegetable, and grain consumption did not prevent the primary outcomes of breast or colorectal cancer but was associated with lower rates of the secondary outcome of breast cancer mortality during long-term follow-up.

Conclusions and relevance: For postmenopausal women, the WHI randomized clinical trials do not support menopausal hormone therapy to prevent cardiovascular disease or other chronic diseases. Menopausal hormone therapy is appropriate to treat bothersome vasomotor symptoms among women in early menopause, without contraindications, who are interested in taking hormone therapy. The WHI evidence does not support routine supplementation with calcium plus vitamin D for menopausal women to prevent fractures or a low-fat diet with increased fruits, vegetables, and grains to prevent breast or colorectal cancer. A potential role of a low-fat dietary pattern in reducing breast cancer mortality, a secondary outcome, warrants further study.